How stocks handle a bounce in the U.S. dollar could be a sign of strength for markets and hint that the January rally may last. The U.S. dollar surged in 2022, with the dollar index hitting a peak of $114.78 in September. At the same time, stocks have sold off due to the dollar strength, its impact on U.S. Treasury yields and what it may mean for companies with a global footprint.
When gauging the impact of commodities, currencies and interest rates on stocks, it's not always the strength or weakness of the asset but how stable each one is over time that matters, said Ari Wald of Oppenheimer. That's why the dollar settling at a round number and staying in range is important. "That inner market stability should create a bullish environment for the stock market in the coming months to quarters," he said.