Bears sent running as stock market breaks downtrend and passes key fundamental tests

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The uncommon strength of the early-year rally has undercut the longstanding bear case on stocks along a few fronts.

The way to scare away a bear, according to experts, is to make a lot of noise while rising up to make yourself appear bigger. Sure enough, a loud equity rally to start the year — amplified by ferocious gains in some of the riskiest and most-hated stocks — has indeed sent bears running and made the bulls seem more powerful than might be expected with only half the total bear-market losses now recaptured.

The crucial detail here is what sorts of stocks ended up in this momentum basket: recent relative winners, which coming into 2023 meant, overwhelmingly, defensive-style stocks. The MTUM is now 60% healthcare and energy. It has a massive underweight in tech and consumer cyclicals. Too much garbage? So quantitative investors riding this factor – often while shorting low-quality stocks – have been whipsawed mightily.

 

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Strong hiring in services which keeps up inflation. Fed has to cause a recession to reach services. Hikes already affected goods but doesnt affect services. Recession slows down services spending. But snowball effect will cause an unemployment crisis & deep recession. AI lurking

Oil crashed

Sell now.

The US is going to be obliterated in 2-3 years, and everyone knows it

You utter vested interest permabull charlatan clowns 🤡

It’s. A. Trap.

What are bears? You mean the shorts & criminal naked shorts? There should only be natural buyers and sellers in these scam markets, you can’t sell a house or car you don’t own can you?

Bear market basically dead. Beware of FUD commentators.

Trump is the best!

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