Outlook The focus this week will be US CPI on Wednesday, forecast up 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y . 2% prior. Core is expected to decelerate to 0.3% m/m and 3.7% y/y. We also get the Fed minutes. Late in the week will be some big bank earnings . Off in the sidelines are worriers about the looming commercial real estate market failure. In a data-filled week, note the ECB meets Thursday.
the US with 4.406%. Which does the rational investor prefer? See the chart from the excellent site kshitij.com. This shows the 2-year notes vs. the dollar/yen. As in the case of the Bund and euro, the correlation is not bad. Most analysts would make the point that what favors the yen is not the Japanese yield rising, but rather the US one falling. That keeps getting postponed as hot US data keeps coming. You have to wonder whether Mr.
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