Can Labour win the next general election? - Business Insider

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Can Labour win the next general election?

Recent opinion polls put Boris Johnson's Conservative party in the clear lead.Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn overturned poll leads of up to 25 points for Johnson's predecessor Theresa May during the 2017 general election.Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories That's the question many British voters are asking themselves as the UK prepares to go back to the polls on December 12.

However, by the end of that election campaign, Corbyn's party was neck-and-neck with May's Conservatives and she ended up losing her government's majority in parliament. Johnson is essentially trying to replicate this message, but hopes that he will be more effective in getting it across to voters.Johnson could come unstuck in the debatesJohnson has agreed to take part in a series of one-on-one televised debates with Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn.

So while the split in the "remain" vote might appear to benefit the Conservatives in national vote share, that may not fully manifest as seats on a local level. This means that just to emerge with the same number of seats in Parliament he has, Johnson would need to make up every one of those lost seats, with additional seats taken from Labour.

 

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